two things can be true at the same time. oil and coal before it pulled billions of people out of extreme poverty, but the debt taken on in terms of CO2 will come due. if the gulf stream stops, we're all in for a ride - or worse, our grandchildren.
I'm personally in the 'drill and burn as fast as possible in a mad rush to fusion power' camp so we get a way to fix this shit rather than the 'stop civilization from doing its thing overnight' camp. alas, neither is happening.
Anthropic is providing agentic intelligence as a service. OpenAI and Google deepmind also are in this business.
The problem is, if you’re any sort of knowledge worker, you’re essentially providing the same thing: you’re an intelligence with agency.
MCP is irrelevant. The moat is the quality of intelligence the service providers sell, including you. Tokens aren’t fungible between providers until you measure that they are for your use case, that’s kinda sorta the goal of job interviews.
Thus the moat will be that they’re providing the best models for the things people need other intelligent people for, but we should expect there will be limits on how much share they can economically take assuming competitors are optimizing for slightly different targets (but there’s still significant overlap in capability). This will disappear, but it’s always a question of when. The path matters as much as the destination.
Note that implications for you and me are exactly what the article says they are: nobody knows, but it’ll be a dramatic shift.
Hierarchies exist for a reason, take away the reason and the house of cards eventually collapses — but the house of cards is still a house. When it’s gone, we’re back to laws of the jungle.
I think certain types of people with power, i.e. access to capital, will lose relevance. world will become more meritcratic with ai as leverage to the individual
It’s exactly the opposite I’m afraid. Capital already has more access to AI, both quantitatively (tokens for dollars) and qualitatively (biggest players got Mythos first). Expect this trend to continue.
Let’s not pretend Apple screen time is any good. My 13yo daughter figured out multiple ways around it by herself and googled a few more and if it wasn’t leaking like a sieve it isn’t granular enough anyway (e.g. music apps offering videos - I want to block videos but not music - can’t be done)
I have a 2019 GPU in my windows box and I’d be pissed off if it stopped working in the next few years. Computers nowadays are useful for much longer than they used to. Spectre class vulnerabilities which take 50% performance to properly (kinda) mitigate are the only reason to maybe upgrade if all you do is browse facebook and pay bills.
The alternative it a strict zero trust network design with very internet access only via RDP or similar protocols. Not many companies are willing to do this.
Indeed there aren’t many of us, but macOS is easily the worst part of the Mac experience, and worryingly it’s getting comparatively worse vs kde or even gnome each year. ‘It’s POSIX’ doesn’t cut it when I deploy to Linux and I work in containers all day anyway (and wsl is better than macOS at this, too, but the rest of windows went downhill real bad recently).
The problem is even before the rampocalypse it just wasn’t possible to get hardware of MacBook quality at any price unless it was an Apple box and nowadays Macs are downright cheap.
Thats my problem. I only tolerate macOS, because of the hardware & battery life. WSL is a better *nix dev env than macOS, at least its real Linux, but like you said, the rest of windows sucks still.
I just want a macbook pro, but Linux. I want the performance, thermals, silence, fantastic screen, touchpad, speakers, etc. I refused to give anything up the mac hardware offers, and the PC OEM industry has just chosen, time and time again, to not bother to compete.
Hopefully these new Nvidia laptops will run Linux, that surface ultra is the first time I feel like a laptop on the other side of the fence will finally offer hardware parity.
I’m not saying I want tinkering. I’m saying the macOS desktop environment is worse than kde or gnome for work. I definitely don’t include the setting up the box part in that, macOS on Mac is hard to beat here.
Is WSL better for running containers? I find macos really annoying when dealing with containers, especially first setup.
It is baffling to me how many backend devs who work with containers all day don't understand that using containers on mac (and windows) requires a full-blown virtual machine. While in linux you just run them.
Ah right, WSL is already a linux VM so there is no need to run docker inside a VM again. I suppose one can do all dev work in macos inside a VM too which would achieve similar results, but I never seen anyone do that.
FWIW I run real linux VMs on my Mac with Lima. Only limitation is that it can’t use the GPU. Otherwise works great for me. Is WSL functionally equivalent?
I've toyed around with worktrees but haven't found them very useful beyond that. I generally find it much easier to carefully prompt an agent so $TASK1 does not interfere with $TASK2
I tried them a while back and they were more annoying than anything. The only real use-case I have for them is stashing long-running changes that are not ready to be committed... but really probably should be anyways.
I'm personally in the 'drill and burn as fast as possible in a mad rush to fusion power' camp so we get a way to fix this shit rather than the 'stop civilization from doing its thing overnight' camp. alas, neither is happening.
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