Maybe ... actually in 2016 you'd have needed PA,MI,WI (and actually know with certainty those would have been the tipping point states, for which MI,WI at least weren't supposed to be that close, if I remember correctly)
There’s only a single tipping point state. It’s the one that puts you over 270 EV. In 2016, it was PA. I agree knowing which swing state is going to be the tipping point state can be harder to predict, but even if you have to spread your bet, it’s still fewer votes to sway than the popular vote.
