"It has become clear that in this market you should have revenue by demo day. Ideally you're ramen profitable. It'll be much harder to find investment if you're not."
If you're "ramen profitable", why do you need a VC at all? You're self-sufficient by that time, you have proven your product - you should be talking to a bank, not YC.
You're partially right, although this is outside the scope of my article. The article is simply stating that it's easier to find any investment (debt or equity) when you have revenue. Ironically, its easiest raise money when you're already making it.
Regardless, there are still good reasons to seek VC investment when profitable. Several YC startups are going down that path. A bank might lend you $10-50k if your net is $2k/month while a VC might invest $1-5 million.
"Regardless, there are still good reasons to seek VC investment when profitable."
Oh I agree of course. VC will be judging you on future potential; a bank will be judging on current performance. If you need a million dollars to really scale up, you need the VC. Facebook or Youtube come to mind, they could have never achived what they have without VC.
But if you don't need the huge cash injection, if you just need to incrementally ramp things up slowly, then VC is not your only option; that's all I'm trying to say.
Early on they needed money, and a lot of it, for servers. They were highly cashflow negative and realistically only VC or outright acquisition could have paid for it.
A case could certainly be made that they took too much money, and I would agree with that, but they did need money from somewhere.
How true is this? I'm not doubting you, just curious for other opinions.
We're raising money currently, and our investors have told us that revenues would come quite distant in terms of variables on if they'd invest. They love a great team, a huge user base and a lead on the market. Sure, having revenues extends your runway, but most investors seem to be of the opinion "users now, profits later".
I guess my question is, would a VC prefer a massive unmonetized user base, or a much smaller user base with revenues?
"Ironically, its easiest raise money when you're already making it."
I don't think it's ironic at all. VC investment involves a risk calculation, profitability means a lower risk but in return the VC should be willing to accept a higher valuation.
They might not give you much money, but they'd give you some! There are plenty of small businesses out there without any real saleable assets beyond their viable business activities and future income, indeed for many banks such a market is their speciality. You won't see a $10m loan on $2k/month, of course, but I should be very surprised if you couldn't at least get a $10k or $20k overdraft, which may well suffice to buy another couple of servers or contract a graphic designer or whatever it is you need to scale incrementally.
Conservatism is rife in the banking sector at the moment but at the same time, making loans is their job, after all.
Fair enough. You're probably right. I haven't tried it, after all.
I was actually thinking in terms of personal loans, which have less onerous collateral requirements since the debtor can't simply walk away from the loan, but I guess I am making assumptions about the creditworthiness of the founders in that instance, too.
It does kind of beggar belief that a couple of smart middle class kids with an obviously working business plan couldn't get someone to loan them a few grand. I guess you can't count on it, though. Point ceded.
Because VC can oftentimes get you to the next level beyond ramen profitability faster than you can on your own. Even at ramen profitability you are still quite vulnerable to the whims of the market; it may make sense to have some VC cushion even at that point.
Mentorship and non-financial support? I don't know the full scope of what YC does for its startups, but you may get to ramen profitability on your own, but growth may be extremely difficult.
If you're "ramen profitable", why do you need a VC at all? You're self-sufficient by that time, you have proven your product - you should be talking to a bank, not YC.